A terrific Vistage International colleague of mine, Elisa Spain, published this insightful and very timely blog about the best way to respond to disruptive change. (Hint: it's not to run and hide.) I re-post it below but you can also read it here.
Vistage economist, Alan Beaulieu, CEO of ITR, issued a simple warning in recent days: “It’s been a good year, but there is a change coming,” he said. “Things are going to slow down.”
For those of us who follow ITR, we know the recession Beaulieu expects next year is one that he’s been forecasting for some time. To be clear, he is forecasting a normal cyclical downturn, not a deep recession.
Beaulieu expects the modestly improving economic climate will continue until February, but, he expects the U.S. industrial production index to peak in the second month of 2018. When that happens, look for things to taper off the rest of the year before turning more sharply downward in 2019.
And, here is Beulieu’s most important message, “When the downturn happens, smart company executives will use the slowdown to invest in your business, from equipment to ERP systems, from talent to technology.”